GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Warta Sieradz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Warta Sieradz hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Warta Sieradz holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Warta Sieradz

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Warta Sieradz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoLWLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Warta SieradzLWWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Legionovia LegionowoWarta Sieradz
40.2Attack42.2
30.4Defence52.9
26.5Form43.1
34.1Power47.4
1.19xG1.70
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