GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/26/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Unia Skierniewice · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Unia Skierniewice are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Unia Skierniewice hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Unia Skierniewice holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Unia Skierniewice

Probability

74.3%

Model confidence

74.3%

Unia Skierniewice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoWLLLD

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Unia SkierniewiceDWLLL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Legionovia LegionowoUnia Skierniewice
40.2Attack76.5
30.4Defence54.9
26.5Form63.7
34.1Power63.6
1.08xG3.23
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