GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Swit · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (LLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Swit are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Swit hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Swit holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Swit

Probability

50.1%

Model confidence

50.1%

Swit has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoLLDD

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 4/4
SwitWWLWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Legionovia LegionowoSwit
40.2Attack0.0
30.4Defence100.0
26.5Form33.3
34.1Power45.3
1.25xG1.95
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