GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/11/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Pelikan Łowicz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Pelikan Łowicz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pelikan Łowicz hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Pelikan Łowicz holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Pelikan Łowicz

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Pelikan Łowicz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Pelikan ŁowiczDLWWW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Legionovia LegionowoPelikan Łowicz
40.2Attack51.0
30.4Defence60.8
26.5Form51.0
34.1Power53.7
0.97xG2.09
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