GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/2/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mławianka Mława · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mławianka Mława are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mławianka Mława hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 43.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Mławianka Mława holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mławianka Mława

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Mławianka Mława has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoLDDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mławianka MławaLLDWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Legionovia LegionowoMławianka Mława
40.2Attack39.2
30.4Defence50.0
26.5Form38.2
34.1Power43.7
1.27xG1.56
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