GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/18/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Jagiellonia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Jagiellonia II hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Jagiellonia II holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Jagiellonia II

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Jagiellonia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoLLWLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Jagiellonia IILWLDD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Legionovia LegionowoJagiellonia II
40.2Attack48.0
30.4Defence46.1
26.5Form44.1
34.1Power46.8
1.36xG1.93
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