GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/5/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legionovia Legionowo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 0W-2D-0L in their last 2 (DD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Legionovia Legionowo hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legionovia Legionowo holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legionovia Legionowo

Probability

53.6%

Model confidence

53.6%

Legionovia Legionowo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Concordia ElblągWDLWW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Legionovia LegionowoConcordia Elbląg
40.2Attack36.3
30.4Defence3.9
26.5Form29.4
34.1Power24.3
2.27xG1.38
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