GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 5/15/2024, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bełchatów · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Legionovia Legionowo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bełchatów are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Bełchatów hold a 20.7-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.3% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Bełchatów holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bełchatów

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

59.3%

Bełchatów has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legionovia LegionowoLLWDW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
BełchatówLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Legionovia LegionowoBełchatów
40.2Attack56.9
30.4Defence52.0
26.5Form54.9
34.1Power54.7
1.18xG2.35
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