GGOALVIO

Estonia · Esiliiga B · 5/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tartu Kalev · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Legion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 4.80 conceded, while Tartu Kalev are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Kalev hold a 37.1-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.5% in the Esiliiga B, while Tartu Kalev holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tartu Kalev

Probability

81.5%

Model confidence

81.5%

Tartu Kalev has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LegionLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 24 · avg 0.80/4.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Tartu KalevDLLLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
LegionTartu Kalev
30.3Attack89.9
0.0Defence34.8
21.2Form53.6
19.4Power56.5
1.28xG4.50
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