Legionvs
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (9%), 1-5 (8%), 1-3 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legion 1-5 Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Original prediction
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.00 | 12.9% | 9.7% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 7.00 | 12.9% | 10.5% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.22 | 74.2% | 79.8% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.22 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–49%
- 2.1–58%
- 3.1–38%
Predicted outcome
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Probability
79.8%
Model confidence
79.8%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60