Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paide II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Legion are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Paide II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Paide II hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (25.0 v 41.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Esiliiga A, while Paide II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Paide II
Probability
63.6%
Model confidence
63.6%
Paide II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 11 · GA 13 · avg 2.20/2.60