Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Legion are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Luunja are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 43.0-point power-rating edge (19.5 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.7% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
83.0%
Model confidence
9.7%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00