Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Legion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Luunja are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 41.6-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40