Legionvs
Johvi Phoenix
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga B · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Johvi Phoenix · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-4 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-5 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legion 0-4 Johvi Phoenix
Original prediction
Johvi Phoenix
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.53 | 9.4% | 11.2% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.05 | 12.7% | 11.8% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 77.8% | 77.0% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–48%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–57%
Predicted outcome
Johvi Phoenix
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
Johvi Phoenix has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 30 · avg 0.40/6.00
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60