GGOALVIO

Legion logoLegionvsFC Tallinn logoFC Tallinn

COMPLETED

Estonia · Esiliiga A · 3/5/2023, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Tallinn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Legion are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WWL), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while FC Tallinn are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 8 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Tallinn hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (25.0 v 37.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Esiliiga A, while FC Tallinn holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Tallinn

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

FC Tallinn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LegionWWL

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
FC TallinnDDLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
LegionFC Tallinn
34.3Attack43.9
10.2Defence24.2
19.4Form36.4
25.0Power37.0
1.67xG2.33
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