Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legião · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legião 0-0 Luziânia
Original prediction
Legião
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.86 | 48.5% | 37.8% | -10.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.49 | 25.8% | 26.7% | 0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.51 | 25.7% | 35.5% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Legião
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Legião has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LegiãoDLWDL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
LuziâniaWLWLD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LegiãoLuziânia
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
33.3Form100.0
45.3Power80.3
1.50xG1.69