Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legião · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Legião are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 4.67 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Luziânia are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legião hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (62.7 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the Brasiliense B, while Legião holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Legião
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
48.8%
Legião has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 0 · avg 4.67/0.00
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33