Legia Warszawavs
Wisla Krakow
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 10/11/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa 2-0 Wisla Krakow
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.03 | 45.4% | 55.9% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.2% | 22.2% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.26 | 28.3% | 21.9% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.03 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
55.9%
Model confidence
55.9%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 7 · avg 3.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40