Legia Warszawavs
Widzew Łódź
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 9/13/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa 1-1 Widzew Łódź
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.84 | 50.4% | 46.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 26.9% | 27.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.09 | 22.7% | 25.9% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.45 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80