Legia Warszawavs
Slask Wroclaw
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/28/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa 1-1 Slask Wroclaw
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 63.1% | 49.8% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.31 | 21.6% | 25.6% | 4.0 pts |
| Away | 6.09 | 15.3% | 24.5% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
49.8%
Model confidence
49.8%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60