Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Tuesday, 14 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

Home
WW
31
Full time
Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

Away
LL
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Radomiak Radom33%
Legia Warszawa33%
Draw33%
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Legia Warszawa
Win probability
Legia Warszawa
33%
Draw
33%
Radomiak Radom
33%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Legia Warszawa
94
Radomiak Radom
54
Defence
Legia Warszawa
66
Radomiak Radom
3
Momentum
Legia Warszawa
100
Radomiak Radom
0
Danger (xG)
Legia Warszawa
2.70
Radomiak Radom
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes

The model projects 3.59 xG for Legia Warszawa and 1.06 xG for Radomiak Radom — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. Even with Legia Warszawa holding the stronger xG profile, the opposition's meaningful attacking output is sufficient to keep BTTS in play.

Over 2.5 goals
Yes

The model projects a combined xG of 4.65 — high attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Legia Warszawa)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Radomiak Radom)
1.35
avg per match
xG against (Legia Warszawa)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Radomiak Radom)
3.15
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
WWWW
Radomiak RadomRadomiak Radom
LLLD

Probability breakdown

33% confidence
Legia Warszawa33%
Draw33%
Radomiak Radom33%

Radomiak Radom leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Legia Warszawa Backed to Win — Model Projects 2-1

Legia Warszawa host Radomiak Radom in Friendlies Clubs. Legia Warszawa have recorded WWWWLW in recent matches while Radomiak Radom arrive with a run of LLWLWL.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 3.59 for Legia Warszawa and 1.06 for Radomiak Radom. The gap of 2.53 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Legia Warszawa have been conceding 2.49 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Legia Warszawa 1Draws 00 Radomiak Radom
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
14 Jul 2026
Legia Warszawa
W31
Radomiak Radom

Recent form

Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

W
vs Radomiak Radom
14 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
7 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Bayern München II
27 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Lechia Gdansk
17 May 2026
10
Radomiak Radom

Radomiak Radom

L
@ Legia Warszawa
14 Jul 2026
13
L
vs Dynamo Kyiv
10 Jul 2026
24
L
vs Lech Poznan
16 May 2026
13
D
@ Cracovia Krakow
11 May 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

GoalVio's model predicts Legia Warszawa to win with 33% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Legia Warszawa vs Radomiak Radom?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more