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Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

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WW
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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Legia Warszawa55%
Draw35%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki10%
Most likely exact score2-0
Win probability
Legia Warszawa
55%
Draw
35%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
10%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Legia Warszawa
94
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
9
Defence
Legia Warszawa
66
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
27
Momentum
Legia Warszawa
100
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0
Danger (xG)
Legia Warszawa
2.70
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Legia Warszawa)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Legia Warszawa)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
WWWW
Pogoń Grod. MazowieckiPogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
LDL

Probability breakdown

51% confidence
Legia Warszawa55%
Draw35%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki10%

Legia Warszawa leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Legia Warszawa head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WW), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki arrive in mixed form (L). Legia Warszawa have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Legia Warszawa's elite attack (94/100) faces a vulnerable Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki defence (27/100), while Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki's attack is up against a solid Legia Warszawa backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Legia Warszawa's favour.

Legia Warszawa have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Legia Warszawa and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Legia Warszawa to win with 51% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Legia Warszawa 5485%, Draw 3500%, Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1015%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

W
vs Radomiak Radom
14 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
7 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Bayern München II
27 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Lechia Gdansk
17 May 2026
10
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

L
vs Wigry Suwałki
17 Jul 2026
02
D
vs Tychy 71
17 May 2026
00
L
@ Odra Opole
11 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

GoalVio's model predicts Legia Warszawa to win with 51% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Legia Warszawa vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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