Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:12
Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

Home
WW
02
Full time
Aris

Aris

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Legia Warszawa38%
Draw35%
Aris27%
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Legia Warszawa
38%
Draw
35%
Aris
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Legia Warszawa
94
Aris
73
Defence
Legia Warszawa
66
Aris
6
Momentum
Legia Warszawa
100
Aris
0
Danger (xG)
Legia Warszawa
2.70
Aris
1.80
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Legia Warszawa)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Aris)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Legia Warszawa)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Aris)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
WWWW
ArisAris
L

Probability breakdown

38% confidence
Legia Warszawa38%
Draw35%
Aris27%

Legia Warszawa leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Legia Warszawa head into this in Friendlies Clubs fixture in decent form (WW), while Aris arrive in mixed form (L). Legia Warszawa have a 100% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for Aris over 1 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Legia Warszawa (94/100) and Aris (73/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Legia Warszawa have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. Aris have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Legia Warszawa and Aris in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Legia Warszawa to win with 38% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Legia Warszawa 3833%, Draw 3500%, Aris 2667%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Legia Warszawa

Legia Warszawa

W
vs Radomiak Radom
14 Jul 2026
31
W
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
7 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Bayern München II
27 Jun 2026
20
W
@ Lechia Gdansk
17 May 2026
10
Aris

Aris

L
@ Apollon Limassol
16 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Aris?

GoalVio's model predicts Legia Warszawa to win with 38% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Aris?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Legia Warszawa vs Aris?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Legia Warszawa vs Aris?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more