Legia Warszawavs
Aktobe
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 7/10/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Legia Warszawa are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Aktobe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 35.7-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80