Legia WarszawavsAEK Larnaca

Legia Warszawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while AEK Larnaca are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (62.4 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.8% in the UEFA Europa League, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.