Legia Warszawa U19vs
Lech Poznań U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 8/28/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa U19 3-1 Lech Poznań U19
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.1% | 48.6% | -7.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.25 | 21.0% | 24.1% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.89 | 22.9% | 27.3% | 4.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.59 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa U19
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Legia Warszawa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00