Legia Warszawa U19vs
Górnik Zabrze U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/12/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa U19 3-3 Górnik Zabrze U19
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.53 | 57.8% | 53.2% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.1% | 24.3% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.1% | 22.5% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.21 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–111%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa U19
Probability
53.2%
Model confidence
53.2%
Legia Warszawa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60