Legia Warszawa U19vs
Arkonia U19
COMPLETEDPoland · Central Youth League · 9/26/2026, 8:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa U19 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa U19 3-2 Arkonia U19
Original prediction
Legia Warszawa U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 66.7% | 53.4% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.61 | 19.1% | 24.9% | 5.8 pts |
| Away | 6.21 | 14.2% | 21.7% | 7.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa U19
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Legia Warszawa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20