GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/21/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Warta Sieradz are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 47.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

63.9%

Model confidence

63.9%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Warta SieradzLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Legia Warszawa IIWarta Sieradz
68.6Attack42.2
60.8Defence52.9
63.7Form43.1
63.8Power47.4
2.21xG0.88
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