GGOALVIO

Poland · II Liga - East · 10/17/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tychy 71 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Legia Warszawa II 1-2 Tychy 71

Original prediction

Tychy 71

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home3.9422.8%23.8%1.0 pts
Draw3.5725.1%22.8%-2.3 pts
Away1.7252.1%53.4%1.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.72 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.1–210%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Tychy 71

Probability

53.4%

Model confidence

53.4%

Tychy 71 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIDWWLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tychy 71WWDDW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Legia Warszawa IITychy 71
66.7Attack51.5
42.4Defence81.8
39.4Form69.7
47.3Power69.0
1.10xG1.75
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