Legia Warszawa IIvs
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/6/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rekord Bielsko-Biała · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa II 1-2 Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Original prediction
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.09 | 43.1% | 30.1% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.3% | 25.9% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.95 | 30.6% | 44.0% | 13.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00