GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 9/14/2024, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Polonia Lidzbark Warm. are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

72.0%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIWDWLD

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Polonia Lidzbark Warm.DDLDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Legia Warszawa IIPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
68.6Attack45.1
60.8Defence41.2
63.7Form40.2
63.8Power44.2
2.79xG0.93
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