Legia Warszawa IIvs
Podhale Nowy Targ
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/19/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Podhale Nowy Targ · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Legia Warszawa II 3-0 Podhale Nowy Targ
Original prediction
Podhale Nowy Targ
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.65 | 33.8% | 34.3% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 23.9% | 26.0% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.11 | 42.4% | 39.7% | -2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Podhale Nowy Targ
Probability
39.7%
Model confidence
39.7%
Podhale Nowy Targ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80