GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/25/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Olimpia Zambrów are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 47.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIWWWLD

GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Olimpia ZambrówDLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Legia Warszawa IIOlimpia Zambrów
68.6Attack51.0
60.8Defence52.9
63.7Form39.2
63.8Power47.5
2.22xG1.06
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