GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/4/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Legionovia Legionowo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 34.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.6% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 82% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

81.6%

Model confidence

81.6%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IILDWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Legionovia LegionowoDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Legia Warszawa IILegionovia Legionowo
68.6Attack40.2
60.8Defence30.4
63.7Form26.5
63.8Power34.1
3.41xG0.80
View match centre →