GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 3/3/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lechia T. Mazowiecki are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lechia T. Mazowiecki hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.4% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

55.4%

Model confidence

55.4%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lechia T. MazowieckiLLDLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Legia Warszawa IILechia T. Mazowiecki
68.6Attack100.0
60.8Defence33.3
63.7Form100.0
63.8Power80.3
2.23xG1.27
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