GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 10/27/2024, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Jagiellonia II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 17.0-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.7% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

66.7%

Model confidence

66.7%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Jagiellonia IIWDDLW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Legia Warszawa IIJagiellonia II
68.6Attack48.0
60.8Defence46.1
63.7Form44.1
63.8Power46.8
2.54xG1.00
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