GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 8/26/2023, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-0

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (DWLW), averaging 2.25 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Concordia Elbląg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 24.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.9% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

88.9%

Model confidence

88.9%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIDWLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 2.25/1.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 2/4
Concordia ElblągWLDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Legia Warszawa IIConcordia Elbląg
68.6Attack36.3
60.8Defence3.9
63.7Form29.4
63.8Power24.3
4.23xG0.71
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