GGOALVIO

Poland · III Liga - Group 1 · 11/18/2023, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Legia Warszawa II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Legia Warszawa II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bełchatów are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa II hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (63.8 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the III Liga - Group 1, while Legia Warszawa II holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Legia Warszawa II

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Legia Warszawa II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Legia Warszawa IIWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
BełchatówWWLWD

GF 13 · GA 3 · avg 2.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Legia Warszawa IIBełchatów
68.6Attack56.9
60.8Defence52.0
63.7Form54.9
63.8Power54.7
2.21xG1.21
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