Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leganes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leganes 3-0 Mérida AD
Original prediction
Leganes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Leganes
Probability
73.7%
Model confidence
11.3%
Leganes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeganesWLLWD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mérida ADLLWDL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeganesMérida AD
55.6Attack16.7
77.8Defence16.7
66.7Form25.0
67.7Power24.6
2.65xG0.84