Leganesvs
Granada CF
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División · 9/20/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leganes · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Leganes 1-0 Granada CF, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Leganes 3-2 Granada CF
Original prediction
Leganes
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:48 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 46.0% | 50.1% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 29.8% | 27.9% | -1.9 pts |
| Away | 3.84 | 24.2% | 22.1% | -2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Projected Score
Leganes 1–0 Granada CF
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Leganes
Probability
50.1%
Model confidence
50.1%
Leganes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LeganesLDWWD
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Granada CFDLWWD
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LeganesGranada CF
44.4Attack51.6
78.6Defence57.1
58.7Form51.6
61.2Power54.4
1.25xG0.71