GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/13/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leganes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Leganes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FC Andorra are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Leganes hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 42.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.4% in the Segunda División, while Leganes holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leganes

Probability

56.4%

Model confidence

56.4%

Leganes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeganesWWLWL

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FC AndorraWWLDD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LeganesFC Andorra
44.4Attack26.2
78.6Defence57.9
58.7Form34.1
61.2Power42.0
1.27xG0.34
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