Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leganes · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Leganes are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Eldense are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Leganes hold a 15.2-point power-rating edge (61.2 v 46.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.8% in the Segunda División, while Leganes holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leganes
Probability
56.8%
Model confidence
20.8%
Leganes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00