1. Liga1. Liga
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:01
Leevon / PPK

Leevon / PPK

Home
L
21
Full time
Riga Mariners

Riga Mariners

Away
D
GoalVio prediction
61% confidence
Riga Mariners(52%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Win probability
Leevon / PPK
13%
Draw
35%
Riga Mariners
52%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Leevon / PPK
34
Riga Mariners
94
Defence
Leevon / PPK
1
Riga Mariners
6
Momentum
Leevon / PPK
0
Riga Mariners
33
Danger (xG)
Leevon / PPK
0.90
Riga Mariners
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Leevon / PPK)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Riga Mariners)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Leevon / PPK)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Riga Mariners)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
LLW
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
DW

Probability breakdown

61% confidence
Leevon / PPK13%
Draw35%
Riga Mariners52%

Riga Mariners leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Leevon / PPK head into this in 1. Liga fixture in mixed form (L), while Riga Mariners arrive in mixed form (D). Leevon / PPK have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Riga Mariners over 1 games.

The model rates Leevon / PPK's attack at 34/100 against a 6/100 Riga Mariners defence, and Riga Mariners's attack at 94/100 against a 1/100 Leevon / PPK backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Leevon / PPK have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Riga Mariners have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Leevon / PPK and Riga Mariners in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Riga Mariners to win with 61% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Leevon / PPK 1276%, Draw 3500%, Riga Mariners 5224%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Leevon / PPK

Leevon / PPK

L
@ Valmiera / BSS
5 Jul 2026
14
L
vs Metta / LU
28 Jun 2026
13
W
@ Rīgas FS II
16 May 2026
21
Riga Mariners

Riga Mariners

D
vs BFC Daugavpils
11 Jul 2026
33
W
vs Valmiera / BSS
16 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners?

GoalVio's model predicts Riga Mariners to win with 61% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more