GGOALVIO

Latvia · 1. Liga · 4/12/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leevon / PPK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leevon / PPK are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Mārupe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Leevon / PPK hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (67.0 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the 1. Liga, while Leevon / PPK holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leevon / PPK

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Leevon / PPK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leevon / PPKWWWDW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MārupeWWLLL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
Leevon / PPKMārupe
56.3Attack54.2
62.5Defence47.9
75.0Form45.8
67.0Power49.1
2.04xG1.07
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