1. Liga1. Liga
Sunday, 28 June 2026Last updated 10:01
Leevon / PPK

Leevon / PPK

Home
L
13
Full time
Metta / LU

Metta / LU

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Metta / LU(55%)
Most likely exact score1-2
Prediction correct— Result: Metta / LU
Win probability
Leevon / PPK
25%
Draw
19%
Metta / LU
55%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Leevon / PPK
34
Metta / LU
94
Defence
Leevon / PPK
1
Metta / LU
66
Momentum
Leevon / PPK
0
Metta / LU
100
Danger (xG)
Leevon / PPK
0.90
Metta / LU
2.70
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Leevon / PPK)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Metta / LU)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Leevon / PPK)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Metta / LU)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK
LLW
Metta / LUMetta / LU
WWWL

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Leevon / PPK25%
Draw19%
Metta / LU55%

Metta / LU leads with 55% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Leevon / PPK head into this in 1. Liga fixture in mixed form (L), while Metta / LU arrive in mixed form (W). Leevon / PPK have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Metta / LU over 1 games.

Tactically, Metta / LU hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Leevon / PPK defence (1/100), while Leevon / PPK's attack faces a solid Metta / LU backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Leevon / PPK have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Metta / LU have won 1 of their last 2 away fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per away game.

Metta / LU have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Metta / LU to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-2. Win probabilities: Leevon / PPK 2540%, Draw 1930%, Metta / LU 5540%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Leevon / PPK 0Draws 01 Metta / LU
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
28 Jun 2026
Leevon / PPK
L13
Metta / LU

Recent form

Leevon / PPK

Leevon / PPK

L
@ Valmiera / BSS
5 Jul 2026
14
L
vs Metta / LU
28 Jun 2026
13
W
@ Rīgas FS II
16 May 2026
21
Metta / LU

Metta / LU

W
vs Spēks
10 Jul 2026
31
W
@ Leevon / PPK
28 Jun 2026
31
W
vs JDFS Alberts
16 May 2026
41
L
@ Rīgas FS
5 Oct 2025
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Leevon / PPK vs Metta / LU?

GoalVio's model predicts Metta / LU to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Leevon / PPK vs Metta / LU?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-2.

Will both teams score in Leevon / PPK vs Metta / LU?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Leevon / PPK vs Metta / LU?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more