Leek Townvs
Warrington Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 9/1/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warrington Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leek Town 1-2 Warrington Town
Original prediction
Warrington Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.2% | 30.7% | -5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 26.3% | 22.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 2.40 | 37.5% | 47.3% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Warrington Town
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Warrington Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60