Leek Townvs
Hyde United
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 9/22/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leek Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leek Town 2-1 Hyde United
Original prediction
Leek Town
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.44 | 36.4% | 52.3% | 15.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.5% | 20.7% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 2.38 | 37.1% | 27.1% | -10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
Leek Town
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Leek Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 8 · GA 15 · avg 1.60/3.00