Leeds United U21vs
Crystal Palace U21
COMPLETEDEngland · Premier League 2 Division One · 10/18/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leeds United U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Leeds United U21 1-4 Crystal Palace U21
Original prediction
Leeds United U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 37.9% | 43.2% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.82 | 23.4% | 23.8% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 38.7% | 33.0% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Leeds United U21
Probability
43.2%
Model confidence
43.2%
Leeds United U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 12 · avg 3.00/2.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40