Lechia Zielona Góravs
Znicz Pruszków
COMPLETEDPoland · II Liga - East · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lechia Zielona Góra · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Lechia Zielona Góra 1-3 Znicz Pruszków
Original prediction
Lechia Zielona Góra
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.64 | 33.9% | 38.0% | 4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.3% | 26.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.8% | 35.3% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Lechia Zielona Góra
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Lechia Zielona Góra has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40